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The first myth.

 

The present growth and scale of crime is an extraordinary phenomenon...


The plot of this myth is usually colored with a flood of statistical information from the 1990s and comparisons with figures from the 1960s—1980s.

“Since 1976 the total number of registered criminal attempts in Russia has increased by 3.4 times...”[8], “between 1991 and 1994, there were 4 times more crimes per 100,000 people than during the period from 1961 to 1964...” [25].

This looks frightening indeed. Incomplete information about crime and its inaccessibility even for law enforcement workers and professional lawyers make us take interpreters of this information at their word
[11; p. 6].

Let us try to examine the same criminal statistics in a wider context as far as our possibilities allow.

Russia has not reached its own record on the total number of all registered crimes: in the mid-1920s the crime rate in our country was 150—200% higher than in the 1990s. The rate of growth in crime in Russia in the 1980s and 1990s has not exceeded average figures for developed countries, and still the crime rate in our country is 2—6 times lower than in Western European countries and U.S. [11, p.85]. The number of crimes solved in Russia is higher than that in Western countries [20].

However, it would be more correct to compare the number of murders (per 100,000 of the population) rather than general crime. One of the reasons in favor of this is that murder, unlike theft, bribery or rape, is more difficult to conceal from the authorities. With regards to murder our statistics are, in fact, considerably higher than European countries and, most recently, they have reached the U.S. level.

But a place amongst the “group leaders” of murder is traditional for Russia, at least, since regular records began. In a comparatively calm period of our history (the end of the XIX century — beginning of the XX) this indicator was about 10—13.

Only in 1992 did the Russia of today exceed these figures (15.5). We would like to note that a 1.5—2 time increase in crime rate (within a decade, not a century) is common for many countries during the last quarter of the century.

The most available and complete information about crime in the last century is on 33 provinces of Russia [9]. The number of registered crimes in 1894 was 7,637; the population of these provinces as of 1896 was 67,240,824 [10]. In 1894, the population was 65,371,000, taking into account the coefficient of natural growth in the population. Thus, in 1894 the number of murders per 100,000 of people was 11.7. In 1994 — 21.8. In 1990—1991 the rate of murders was even lower than a hundred years ago. It should also be taken into consideration that current statistics record murders alongside with attempted murder.

 


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